The heavy card market of the year
2016 of the construction machinery market is still in a state of ignorance, the enterprises of the enterprises have issued their own views on this.
FAW: medium weight Kali is more than the disadvantage
At the 2016 business annual meeting, the sales general manager of Jingyi, general manager of steam, concluded: 2016, though there are many unfavorable factors in the heavy truck market, there are still many favorable factors, and the market demand will gradually increase.
"In 2016, the overall market demand for medium heavy trucks will be no less than 750 thousand vehicles, and there will be an opportunity to increase 800 thousand vehicles. The overall market sales of light trucks will be 850 thousand vehicles, up 9% compared to the same period." The youth said.
He made such a detailed analysis: in the first half of 2016, the market demand for heavy trucks was 450 thousand, accounting for 56% of the total sales volume in the first half of the year, and the 350 thousand industry demand in the second half of the year, accounting for 44% of the total annual sales.
Heavy steam: a commercial vehicle is a good whole
At the annual meeting of heavy steam in December 18th, Ma Chunji, chairman of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group Corp, said that the overall demand for the 2016 commercial vehicles would grow steadily.
Ma Chunji pointed out that 2016 is "13th Five-Year" development plan at the beginning of the year, but also China heavy "reform and innovation to enhance the year. It is expected that the overall demand for the commercial vehicle industry will grow steadily in 2016, and will not rise and fall.
Cai Dongze, the general manager of China heavy steam group, made a detailed analysis of the dump and road cars.
From the positive side, although from the beginning of the first half of 2015, the state approved investment and construction projects has been continued, the first three quarters of 2015, the national development and Reform Commission has approved the approval of fixed assets investment projects 218, a total investment of more than 1 trillion and 800 billion yuan, but this is not good in the heavy truck market. "Before the national macroeconomic changes when the basic three months can response to the heavy truck market; but by the end of 2015 the market has not significantly improved." Cai Dong said.
On the dump truck, Cai Dong thinks, "from 2016 to the second half of next year, the dump truck will gradually get a little color. The market capacity of the 3 and 40 thousand dump trucks this year is not normal for our country, so this figure will improve in 2016, and the signal of market warming will start from the consumption of inventory cars.
On the road car, Cai Dong believes that the 2016 traction and cargo vehicles are still the focus of the market. The tractor market will remain the development trend this year, that is, the total sales volume of the tractor will be maintained at around 200 thousand vehicles, and there will be no significant change, of which the share of 6 * 2 vehicles will remain the existing share or continue to rise.
Shaanqi heavy truck sales were flat or slightly.
SHAANQI holdings chairman Yuan Hongming believes that the market situation is not optimistic, in 2016 the annual sales of heavy truck industry is likely to be flat or slightly.
"2016-2020 years, the total demand for the heavy card market will be stable at 500 thousand -60 million."
Dongfeng Liuqi high-end truck is out of the way
Dongfeng general manager Cheng Daoran said: "the future of the truck only to high-end walk is the way. The implementation of the 4 emission standards in January 1, 2015 will play a watershed in the development of this industry, and many enterprises will have a torment period.
"Every emission upgrade will have a profound impact on the industry, and the process of emission upgrading is also the process of industry shuffling." Cheng Daoran has his own foresight to the future country's four standard industry development trend. "For enterprises that attach importance to technical upgrading, emission upgrading is an opportunity."
Valin star horse: it will be more than 2015 challenges
Chairman of Valin star horse Liu Hanru believes that in 2016 the economic situation is not good, may be greater than the challenges of the 2015, but in 2018 and 2019 is likely to usher in a good inversion (this is derived from the previous Chinese economic law).
Liu Hanru also said that the world economy is going to enter a stage of greater turbulence, and we must stand high and see far. In the past 2016-2020 years, the total demand for the heavy card market will be stable at 500 thousand -60 million units. In the future, commercial car enterprises can only survive 50%, and the restructured plant can only survive 40%.
Red Rock: 2016 is not optimistic
In January 9th, SAIC ivecohongyan marketing business annual meeting held in 2016, according to the general manager of commercial vehicle company Red Yang Hanlin predict, 2016 of the heavy truck market would be able to 570 thousand vehicles, only 4.2% higher than in 2015. This is not quite different from the previous forecasts and is not optimistic about the market.
Yang Hanlin also proposed that on 2016, the target of "red" was to be sold to 21 thousand vehicles in 2016, and the market share accounted for 3.7%. Among them, 18 thousand domestic sales were planned and 3000 were exported.
North Ben: everything is OK
Wang Shihong, general manager of North Ben heavy truck, said the 2016 heavy card market was stable and basically flat in 2015, with a total of 550 thousand.
Wang Baoying believes that the national renewal of the Yellow standard vehicle policy for the port traction car sales has a greater role to improve.
For the market target of the North running in 2016, Wang Bao said: "in 2016, we will push the new product to the V3ET light weight tractor." The 4 * 2 ports of North Ben hauling the car owner 1830SQ/1834SQ/1830SY, such as the car, will usher in a greater development opportunity.
Wang Baoying proposed that in 2016, the overall domestic heavy card market sales are expected to be 550 thousand. The sales target of North Ben heavy steam in 2016 is fixed in 15000, of which 10000 vehicles are sold at home, 12000 vehicles and 5000 export targets.
Summary:
So, the boss although all that 2016 heavy truck market will have a big change, but the goals for 2016 are full of confidence, generally believe that next year the heavy truck market with this year or even slightly better than this year; and the almost all proposed market share increased or unchanged requirements, and are targeted to special vehicle market models.
In particular, the share of the tractor will continue to increase next year, which is also the consensus of all. In addition, the horse power section will be further promoted.
But with the change, it is also a great opportunity and a challenge. This may mean that the stronger the stronger, the overall share of the first 5 in 2016 will be further improved than in 2015.
The last quote Shaanqi Mister Yuan Hongming in 2016 New Year's speech in a sentence: "the smell of a symbol of war in ancient China sign drum, seize the day to start a new process!"
What will the heavy card market like in the real 2016? Rub one's eyes and wait。