This year, the price trend is getting warmer and the macro economy is expected to develop well

NDRC recently announced a group of data reports that, despite the fact that after the baptism of 2015, the development environment of China's economy in 2016 is somewhat complex, but in general, it is developing in a positive direction, and the economic operation is still showing a good trend.

This year's economic development was better than last year, which was summed up in the following aspects:

The decrease in the producer price index (PPI) will be reduced

Analysis of the report, after a long time, a substantial decline, the lowest point since some commodity prices have fallen below the financial crisis, the price level close to breakeven line operation even in the line of balance, international commodity prices continue to fall sharply in the year the possibility is very small, so the PPI or drag on the domestic market will be weaker than last year. It is important that a series of measures that our country is taking to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand will increase market confidence and will eventually effectively curb the PPI decline.

Consumer prices are generally low and mild

The report points out that the domestic economy is in a critical period of structural adjustment, and the economic growth will continue to stabilize and slow down during the critical period of structural adjustment. At the same time, the world economic recovery is weak, international trade continued to shrink, the appreciation of the dollar and other factors, international commodity prices may continue to run low volatility this year, the overall price level will be lower than last year, this will to some extent restrain domestic prices.

The rise in labor prices will be slowed down

In recent years, the effective surplus labor force in rural China has been decreasing continuously. The supply and demand relationship of ordinary labor force with migrant workers as the main body has undergone a turning change, and the labor age population has decreased. In the future, with the development of mergers and acquisitions, the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry and the development of the Pearl River Delta to some extent, the labor demand of labor-intensive industries will also decrease.

The price of capital will show a downward trend

Report in November 2014 since the monetary policy reviews and the effect of that on the one hand, since 2015, the central bank repeated RRR cuts and increasing open market operations, money supply growth is relatively fast; on the other hand, the objective environment, increasing the downward pressure on economic growth will also provide a basic condition for the decline in the price of money. Therefore, in the last two years, the trend of a significant decline in the price of China's capital is expected to continue.

In addition, the report also reminds that the uncertainty and volatility of the price operation will increase the difficulty of price regulation and increase the probability of risk. Therefore, people should not only see the good side of price, but also pay close attention to the potential problems and risks in price operation, and take corresponding macro-control measures.

Analysts said that the overall stability of consumer prices will help to protect the quality of life of people, PPI decline gradually narrowed means of stabilizing the economy environment will be consolidated, capital prices continue to decline and labor prices slowing down is conducive to the majority of enterprises to further reduce financing costs and labor costs, and reduce the burden on business. To improve the enthusiasm of upgrading. Therefore, in general, the impact of this year's price operation on the macro-economy is better than last year.

For the coming year, the efforts of all industries will be more effective than in 2015, so even if there is a good environment in the lining. Do not have a fluke heart slack.

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