Oil prices are "up five" or will be stranded
Under the price of international oil price, the price of domestic oil is "up five" or will be lost. From a number of social monitoring agency learned that the current rate of change of crude oil is still low in June 23rd, the domestic refined oil retail price will usher in a new round of price adjustment window, then the probability increases due to less than 50 yuan / ton and occur during the first round of price adjustment aground gasoline return 6 times still need time.
With the increase in support for British European voting and the rise in the US stock market, crude oil continued to rise in the last two days. Among them, WTI has risen 3.16 dollars per barrel, up 6.84%, and Brent has risen by $3.46 / barrel, up 7.33%.
However, the domestic oil price adjustment is still in low position. Www monitoring data show that as of June 20th (the adjustment period of eighth working days), the reference crude rate of change of 0.36%, corresponding to the increase of 15 yuan / ton. "Even if the remaining two days of crude oil keeps 1 yuan per barrel per day, the rate of change is also unlikely to rebound. The increase of gasoline and diesel will still be lower than 50 yuan per ton. The current oil price adjustment is still facing a larger probability of a stranded situation. Information Analyst Hu Huichun said.
Anxunsi oil industry analyst Wang Meiyuan also said that as of June 20th, anxunsi oil price change rate index of 0.54%, domestic gasoline and diesel retail is expected to rise by about 20 yuan / ton. According to the analysis of the current international crude oil trend, the international crude oil will continue to rebound in the next two days, but the margin will narrow, and the rate of change will still maintain a slight fluctuation. This price adjustment has been stranded due to the lack of margin.
Www statistics data show that as of this price adjustment, this year a total of 12 times the price adjustment window, among them, 1 down, 4 raised, 1 stranded, do not adjust 6 times. After the rise and fall, the cumulative rise of gasoline by 465 yuan / ton, and the cumulative rise of 450 yuan per ton of diesel oil, and the number of provinces and municipalities with only five gasoline standards for the country at present are above 6 yuan.
Wang Meiyuan said that the domestic diesel international crude oil continued to fall, and the northern end of the busy, downstream demand. While gasoline will enter the demand season, but the rainy season throughout the country, to some extent, curb gasoline sales. In addition to the retail price adjustment or stranded, downstream of the current inventory consumption slowed, the industry will remain cautious operation, the market turnover will continue to be small, and difficult to improve the atmosphere. Overall, the domestic gasoline and diesel market in the near future will be steadily falling.
